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Volatilité des exportations et croissance économique

Volatilité des exportations et croissance économique


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About the Book

La volatilité des exportations est un problème sérieux pour la croissance économique de tout pays en développement. Cette étude utilise des données trimestrielles sur le prix des exportations, le volume des exportations, le travail, le capital, les biens d'équipement importés et le produit intérieur brut réel (PIBR) sur la période 1991-2014. Pour modéliser la volatilité des prix à l'exportation et du volume des exportations en tant que processus variant dans le temps, une forme étendue du modèle GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heterosedasticity), c'est-à-dire GARCH (1,1), est utilisée, ainsi qu'un modèle de croissance de la production Cobb-Douglas étendu, afin de déterminer la relation à long terme entre la volatilité des exportations et la croissance économique en Ethiopie. Selon le résultat de l'estimation du modèle GARCH (1, 1), la volatilité du jour précédent du prix et du volume des exportations peut influencer la volatilité du jour en cours du prix et du volume des exportations. Et d'après le résultat du modèle de production Cobb-Douglas étendu, les indices de volatilité du prix et du volume des exportations affectent négativement la croissance économique à long terme.


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9786205735275
  • Publisher: KS Omniscriptum Publishing
  • Publisher Imprint: Editions Notre Savoir
  • Height: 229 mm
  • No of Pages: 60
  • Spine Width: 4 mm
  • Weight: 150 gr
  • ISBN-10: 620573527X
  • Publisher Date: 24 Feb 2023
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Language: French
  • Returnable: N
  • Sub Title: Le cas de l'Éthiopie
  • Width: 152 mm


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