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Hindsight Bias. Geschichte und Auswirkungen im finanzwirtschaftlichen Kontext

Hindsight Bias. Geschichte und Auswirkungen im finanzwirtschaftlichen Kontext


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About the Book

Studienarbeit aus dem Jahr 2021 im Fachbereich BWL - Investition und Finanzierung, Note: 1,3, Georg-August-Universität Göttingen (Lehrstuhl für Finanzwirtschaft), Veranstaltung: Seminar in Finanzwirtschafts, Sprache: Deutsch, Abstract: Diese Seminararbeit untersucht den Hindsight Bias, auch bekannt als Rückschaufehler, und seine Auswirkungen im finanzwirtschaftlichen Kontext. Der Hindsight Bias beschreibt das Phänomen, dass Menschen die Vorhersagbarkeit von Ereignissen rückblickend überschätzen. Nachdem ein Ereignis eingetreten ist, neigen sie dazu zu glauben, dass sie das Ergebnis bereits vorhergesehen haben. Die Arbeit beginnt mit einer Definition des Hindsight Bias und einer Beschreibung der verschiedenen Messansätze, die im Laufe der Zeit entwickelt wurden. Es werden drei wesentliche empirische Forschungsdesigns vorgestellt: das within person design, das between subjects design und die Erweiterung durch eine Kontroll- und Testgruppe. Im psychologischen Kontext wird der Hindsight Bias als allgegenwärtig beschrieben, der in vielen Bereichen wie Geschichte, Medizin und juristischen Entscheidungen auftritt. Persönliche Merkmale wie das Bedürfnis nach Vorhersagbarkeit, Intelligenz und Expertise beeinflussen die Ausprägung des Hindsight Bias. Im ökonomischen Kontext wird der Hindsight Bias im Zusammenhang mit der Prinzipal-Agent-Beziehung und dem Curse of Knowledge untersucht. Es wird diskutiert, wie Marktakteure diesen Bias in ihre Entscheidungen einbeziehen und welche Folgen sich daraus ergeben. Im finanzwirtschaftlichen Kontext zeigt sich, dass der Hindsight Bias die Risikowahrnehmung und die Leistung von Investmentbankern beeinflusst. Es wird untersucht, wie der Bias die Einschätzung von Volatilität und die Überraschung durch unerwartete Ergebnisse beeinflusst. Die Arbeit schließt mit einer Zusammenfassung der wichtigsten theoretischen Überlegungen und Diskussionen und betont die Bedeutung des Hindsight Bias für die Finanzwirtschaft. Es wird darauf hingewiese


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9783389027516
  • Publisher: Bod Third Party Titles
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Language: German
  • Returnable: N
  • Weight: 45 gr
  • ISBN-10: 3389027513
  • Publisher Date: 24 May 2024
  • Height: 210 mm
  • No of Pages: 26
  • Spine Width: 2 mm
  • Width: 148 mm


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Hindsight Bias. Geschichte und Auswirkungen im finanzwirtschaftlichen Kontext
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